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Bitcoin had a troubled June and it’s not going great in July either. It has been experiencing significant fluctuations over the past few months. Most notably, it plummeted to $53,000, its lowest level since early this year. This dramatic drop has every Bitcoin investor asking the same pressing question: How far will this downtrend go?
Dive deeper to uncover the reasons behind the crash, expert insights on the future, and whether this might actually be a golden buying opportunity.
In a recent video analysis, Altcoin Daily’s analyst delved into the reasons behind Bitcoin’s latest crash. He highlighted several contributing factors, noting that Bitcoin has seen a sharp sell-off, marking the deepest retrace of the current cycle with a 25% drop. Despite this downturn, the overall sentiment remains positive, underscoring Bitcoin’s importance as a vital digital asset for billions worldwide.
Analyzing Bitcoin’s daily chart reveals a steady decline from $72,949, with a sharper drop from $60,000 to $53,550. Volume spikes during these drops indicate phases of capitulation and accumulation. The primary support level is at $53,550, with resistance at $58,000. The relative strength index (RSI) at 26 and Stochastic at 13 indicate oversold conditions, signaling bearish momentum.
Additionally, the average directional index (ADI) at 36 suggests moderate trend strength.
External Factors: Influences Beyond the Charts
Bitcoin’s struggle to stay above key price points like $59,000 has led to increased selling pressure. This breach triggered a cascade of sell-offs, causing the price to fall sharply. External factors, such as the Mt. Gox Bitcoin repayments and the German government’s sale of its Bitcoin holdings, have also influenced the market. The release of 140,000 Bitcoins from Mt. Gox created fear, though actual selling is likely to be staggered. Furthermore, Germany has sold almost 4,000 Bitcoins, adding to the selling pressure.
Despite these challenges, Bitcoin’s long-term prospects remain strong. The current dip is seen as a buying opportunity for investors. Historical patterns suggest that Bitcoin typically peaks around 547 days post-halving, indicating that current market conditions are part of a larger cycle. The analyst emphasizes not letting short-term conditions overshadow long-term judgment, as Bitcoin’s fundamental value and potential remain robust.
Analyzing Investor Sentiment
According to Glassnode’s latest report, the MVRV Ratio indicates that aggregate investor profitability remains strong, with the average coin holding a 2x profit multiple. This level typically marks the transition between the ‘Enthusiastic’ and ‘Euphoric’ phases in bull markets, hinting at potential bullish momentum ahead.
Investors must stay vigilant and strategic. Keeping a close eye on the charts, watching for key resistance levels, and preparing for sudden drops will be crucial. The crypto world is unpredictable, but with the right strategies and a keen sense of the market, you can turn your luck in your favor.
Also Read: After 40% Rise, LayerZero Aims at Another 25% Jump: Will ZRO Price Reach $5 This Weekend?
Bitcoin’s journey is never without its ups and downs. Don’t let short-term dips cloud your long-term vision.